Top Performing Decklists
| Deck | Creator | Record | Best Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mono-Red Aggro | giovanni iannarelli | 10-4 | None |
| Izzet Prowess | toru kono | 8-4 | None |
Performance Stats (Last 14 Days)
Win Rate Impact
Top Table Win Rate
Meta Trend
Sample Size
Tournament Results
Average Copies
Archetypes Using This Card:
Azorius Control , Boros Burn , Goblins , Izzet Prowess , Jeskai Control , Jeskai Oculus , Mono-Red Aggro , Rakdos Aggro , Red Deck Wins , Temur Otters
Meta Performance Analysis
Thrill of Possibility ranks #1691 out of approximately 5129 cards in raw efficiency (top 33%).
Game Impact Factor
Color Differential
Red average: 49.2%
Performance compared to other Red cardsBased on our comprehensive multi-metric analysis, Thrill of Possibility is a decent card with average performance in the current meta.
Recommended number of copies: 1
Win Rate Timeline
Card Efficiency Analysis
Raw Efficiency (Win Rate/Mana)
Relative Efficiency
Performance Efficiency: 5.97 (Win rate × Top 8 rate ÷ Mana value)
At 2 mana, the average win rate in the format is 47.5%. Thrill of Possibility has a win rate of 52.2%, making it 9.9% better than other 2-mana cards.
Top Performing Partners
| Card Name | Type | Deck Count | Win Rate | 1st Places |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cyclonic Rift | Instant | 5 | 64.2% | 1 |
| Consider | Instant | 6 | 63.9% | 2 |
| Saheeli, Sublime Artificer | Legendary Planeswalker — Saheeli | 6 | 61.1% | 0 |
| Fire Prophecy | Instant | 6 | 59.9% | 0 |
| Torbran, Thane of Red Fell | Legendary Creature — Dwarf Noble | 5 | 53.1% | 0 |
| Prismari Command | Instant | 8 | 51.6% | 0 |
| Arcane Signet | Artifact | 19 | 49.1% | 2 |
| Lava Coil | Sorcery | 9 | 47.8% | 0 |
| Birgi, God of Storytelling | Legendary Creature — God | 6 | 46.8% | 0 |
| Storm's Wrath | Sorcery | 9 | 46.2% | 0 |
Card Synergy Analysis
Cards that perform better with Thrill of Possibility than they do on average. A positive synergy score indicates stronger performance together.
| Card Name | Type | Mana | Decks | Win Rate Together | Win Rate Apart | Synergy Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consider | Instant | 1 | 7 | 73.2% | 55.0% | +18.2% |
| Play with Fire | Instant | 1 | 5 | 70.8% | 55.6% | +15.3% |
| Ragavan, Nimble Pilferer | Legendary Creature — Monkey Pirate | 1 | 5 | 65.4% | 54.4% | +11.0% |
| Fire Prophecy | Instant | 2 | 6 | 65.6% | 54.7% | +10.9% |
| An Offer You Can't Refuse | Instant | 1 | 5 | 63.3% | 54.5% | +8.8% |
| Big Score | Instant | 4 | 7 | 63.0% | 54.2% | +8.7% |
| Bonecrusher Giant | Creature — Giant | 3 | 7 | 63.6% | 54.9% | +8.7% |
| Abrade | Instant | 2 | 9 | 62.5% | 54.5% | +8.0% |
| Saheeli, Sublime Artificer | Legendary Planeswalker — Saheeli | 3 | 5 | 58.5% | 52.7% | +5.8% |
| Negate | Instant | 2 | 12 | 59.7% | 54.4% | +5.3% |
Top Archetypes
| Archetype | Deck Count | % of Archetype | Win Rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Izzet Prowess | 26 | 2.6% | 45.4% |
| Mono-Red Aggro | 7 | 1.6% | 44.7% |
| Jeskai Oculus | 7 | 0.9% | 36.1% |
| Boros Burn | 2 | 0.5% | 48.6% |
| Red Deck Wins | 2 | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Statistics Explanation
| Statistic | Description | Formula |
|---|---|---|
| Win Rate Impact | How much this card increases or decreases the win rate of decks that include it, compared to the average deck in the format. | (Win rate of decks with this card) - (Average win rate of all decks) |
| Top Table Win Rate | A weighted win rate that gives more significance to performance in higher tournament placements. First place finishes count for 2x, with diminishing weight down to 8th place. | ∑(wins × placement_weight) / ∑((wins + losses) × placement_weight) |
| Meta Trend | Shows if the card is performing better or worse in the most recent period compared to earlier periods. Positive values indicate improving performance. | (Win rate in recent half of time period) - (Win rate in earlier half of time period) |
| Confidence Factor | A measure of statistical reliability based on sample size. The progress bar indicates how confident we are in the statistics (with larger sample sizes providing higher confidence). | log10(Number of decks + 1) |
| Average Copies | The average number of copies of this card included in decks that use it. | ∑(Copies in each deck) / (Number of decks) |
| Card Synergy Score | Measures how well this card performs with other cards compared to their individual performance. | (Win rate together) - (Average of individual win rates) |
| Raw Efficiency | Win rate points per mana invested. Higher values indicate better returns on mana investment. | (Win rate) / (Mana value) |
| Relative Efficiency | How efficient this card is compared to the average card of the same mana value. | ((Win rate) / (Format average win rate for same mana)) / (Mana value) |
| Performance Efficiency | Combined metric that accounts for win rate, tournament success, and mana investment. | (Win rate × Top 8 placement rate) / (Mana value) |
| Game Impact Factor | A measure of how much this card affects game outcomes, based on win rate adjusted by its deviation from the format average. | Win rate × (1 + (Win rate - Format average) / 100) |
| Color Differential | How this card's win rate compares to the average win rate of other cards of the same color. | Win rate - Average win rate for same color |
All statistics are calculated using tournament data from the selected time period. Sample sizes below 10 decks may not provide statistically significant results.